Key Insights from "The Art of Thinking Clearly: Better Thinking, Better Decisions"
- The Fallacy of Confirmation: We tend to seek information that confirms our preconceptions, while ignoring or dismissing conflicting data.
- Survivorship Bias: We focus on successful outcomes, while overlooking the failures that are statistically more common.
- Swimmer's Body Illusion: The false belief that certain outcomes are the result of certain actions, when in reality, the outcomes are often influenced by inherent capabilities or traits.
- Availability Bias: We rely on immediate examples that come to mind when evaluating something, rather than looking at all available data.
- Reciprocity: People feel...