Probabilistic Graphical Models - Principles and Techniques

A general framework for constructing and using probabilistic models of complex systems that would enable a computer to use available information for making decisions.

Most tasks require a person or an automated system to reason—to reach conclusions based on available information. The framework of probabilistic graphical models, presented in this book, provides a general approach for this task. The approach is model-based, allowing interpretable models to be constructed and then manipulated by reasoning algorithms. These models can also be learned automatically from data, allowing the approach to be used in cases where manually constructing a model is difficult or even impossible....

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